Pure Hedge - Livestock and Grain

Soybean field crop rows by oticki via iStock

10/9/25

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     The Livestock Markets were mixed today, with the Cattle Markets again trading higher and the Hogs falling apart. The December'25 Fats gained another buck today. December'25 Live Cattle were 1.02 ½ higher today and settled at 239.90. Today's high was 240.42 ½ and the 1-month high is 241.35. Today's low was 238.47 ½ and the 1-month low is 230.07 ½. Since 9/9 December'25 Live Cattle are 8.72 ½ higher or almost 4%. The November'25 Feeders raced higher again today. The November'25 Feeder Cattle were 5.22 ½ higher today and settled at 374.05. Today's high was 375.07 ½ and that is the new 1-month and contract high as well. Today's low was 369.02 ½ and the 1-month low is 342.12 ½. Since 9/9 November'25 Feeder Cattle are 25.17 ½ higher or more than 7%. The Hogs are now submerged in you know what. December'25 Hogs were 1.75 lower today and settled at 84.35. Today's high was 86.10 and the 1-month and contract high are 91.52 ½. Today's low was 84.30 and that is the new 1-month and contract low as well. Since 9/9 December'25 Lean Hogs are 3.50 lower or almost 4%. The Feeder Cattle Market has outkicked its coverage, and we will see how they end up closing the week tomorrow. Over the last 5 trading days, December'25 Live Cattle are 6.42 ½ higher and the November'25 Feeder Cattle are a whopping 21.65 higher. The Feeders continue to make new contract highs, while the Fats are still below their contract high of 243.57 ½ set on 8/27/25. The cash market has stalled, even with the aggressive price action in the futures market, and today a cash trade of 230 was reported. Tomorrow morning will be interesting to see if profit taking begins with a stalled cash market, the US Dollar charging ahead, and the Stock Markets breaking today. The Hogs can't catch a break as they headed lower again today. The December'25 Hogs settled below the 100-Day moving average today of 84.62 ½, and it looks like it is heading toward the 80.00 level, with the 200-Day moving average sitting at 80.06 ½ and just below is the 50% retracement from the 52-week high/low at 79.23 ½. Remember, if you Buy them - Hedge them. If you have a price level, or timeframe you would like to protect, now is the time to Hedge in the Option Market, while the futures market is so elevated. Give me a call and I will show you a few different Options. 

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The need for a successful business to have a trading account is immeasurable. Look at the market movement in all markets over the last three months. Opening an account sometime in the future will not help you if you need access now. To be successful, and able to manage risk, you need to be proactive now and secure your access to markets in real time. You can be both Prepared and Patient at the same time. ***WATCH FOR TRADE DEAL NEWS***

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     The Grain Markets were all lower today. November'25 Soybeans were 7 ¼ cents lower today and settled at 1022 ¼. Today's high was 1030 and the 1-month high is 1052 ¾. Today's low was 1020 ¾ and the 1-month low is 993 ¾. Since 9/9 November'25 Soybeans are 9 cents lower or almost 1%. December'25 Corn was 3 ¾ cents lower today and settled at 418 ¼. Today's high was 423 ¼ and the 1-month high is 431 ¼. Today's low was 418 and the 1-month low is 410 ½. Since 9/9 December'25 Corn is 1 ½ cents lower or fractionally lower. December'25 Wheat was ¾ of a cent lower today and settled at 506 ½. Today's high was 513 ½ and the 1-month high is 535 ¾. Today's low was 506 ½ and the 1-month and contract low are 502. Since 9/9 December'25 Wheat is 13 ¾ cents lower or just over 2 ½%. The Grains need help and have been drifting around, waiting for some good news. Other than Trade Deal News, I think the Soybean Oil Market could help stabilize the Grains and pull the Soybeans higher. The demand for Soybean Oil looks ready to explode. There is a Malaysian palm oil production report tomorrow, and it is expected to show lower production both seasonally and for the year. Indonesia plans to increase their biofuel mixture from 40% to 50% in 2026. That should lower the amount they can export, at the same time there are lower export supplies of sunflower oil, and those prices are rising as well, adding more demand for palm oil and soybean oil. I structured many Soybean Oil Trades today and sent them out to many of you. If you would like to see them, send me an email or give me a call. Positive news is hard to find right now in the Grains, but I feel the Bean Oil can have a great story moving forward, and any trade deal could act like a slingshot and further propel the Soybean Oil ahead. If you have any questions for me, give me a call. Important Dates below. Have a great night. 

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IMPORTANT UPCOMING DATES BELOW

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The need for a successful business to have a trading account is immeasurable. Look at the market movement in all markets over the last three weeks. Opening an account sometime in the future will not help you if you need access now. To be successful, and able to manage risk, you need to be proactive now and secure your access to markets in real time. You can be both Prepared and Patient at the same time. WATCH FOR TRADE DEAL NEWS

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If you don't like the customer service or personal attention you are receiving from your broker, you have options, and you don't have to stay there. I can have your new account open in 1-2 days. Call me anytime 312-957-8079 BALLEN@WALSHTRADING.COM   Sign Up Now

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50-Year Cattle Chart Below. Whenever it Breaks it Will Be a Spectacular Collapse.

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December'25 Natural Gas 5-Year Chart Below.  

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December'25 Soybean Oil 5-Year Chart Below. 

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USE THE QR CODE BELOW TO SIGNUP FOR TRADE ALERTS

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If you would like to open an account, please call or send me an email BALLEN@WALSHTRADING.COM 

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If you would like to receive more information on the commodity markets, please use the link to join my email list   Sign Up Now 

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Thank you to all of my Canadian Customers. If you live in Alberta or Ontario, you are able to open an account in the USA. Hopefully we can work with the Province of Saskatchewan, and all Canandian Provinces soon. Your ability to open an account in the US is blocked by your Provincial Governments, not by the United States. 

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Thank you to all of my old and new Customers. I appreciate your business. To those of you that are close to opening an account, please call me if you have any questions, and I look forward to working with you soon. To anyone thinking about opening a Hedge or Trading account, give me a call and we can talk about it. 

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Most Recent Walsh Gamma Trader Link - Walsh Gamma Trader

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GOD BLESS AMERICA

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Give me a call if you have any questions.

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Bill Allen

Vice President

Pure Hedge Division 

Direct: 312-957-8079

ballen@walshtrading.com

 

WALSH TRADING INC.

311 South Wacker Drive

Suite 540 Chicago, Illinois 60606

www.walshtrading.com

 

Walsh Trading, Inc. is registered as a Guaranteed Introducing Broker with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission and an NFA Member.


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